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US Route 301 Predictive Modeling

Author(s): Michael Lenert ; Brooke Blades

Year: 2016

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Survey along the US Route 301 corridor was guided by a 2006 predictive model. The effort was informed by previous modeling efforts in Delaware and by earlier models primarily prehistoric in focus.The historic component identified margins adjacent to older roadways as having at least medium potential for sites and isolated house locations shown on nineteenth-century maps as high potential locations. Sites dating to the later eighteenth and nineteenth centuries were at times encountered in medium and high zones. Earlier colonial sites adjacent to several unimproved and abandoned paths and "cart roads" often fell in low potential zones. Smaller nineteenth-century tenant houses and "house-garden" structures that were not identified on historic maps were equally invisible. One conclusion is the utilization of more complete historic data in model construction. Less obvious lessons include the need to engage in probability sampling and reversal of testing intensities by placing more—not fewer—tests in "low potential" zones.

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US Route 301 Predictive Modeling. Michael Lenert, Brooke Blades. Presented at Society for Historical Archaeology, Washington, D.C. 2016 ( tDAR id: 434608)


Spatial Coverage

min long: -129.199; min lat: 24.495 ; max long: -66.973; max lat: 49.359 ;

Record Identifiers

PaperId(s): 146

Arizona State University The Andrew W. Mellon Foundation National Science Foundation National Endowment for the Humanities Society for American Archaeology Archaeological Institute of America